RotoViz writers have been keeping busy over the last two days with up-to-minute reactions for all the fantasy-relevant draft picks in the first three rounds. Be sure to check out our previous draft coverage and pre-draft research. Day 1 Instant Fantasy Reactions: Where the Stars Belong Now Superflex Rookie Draft Projections Following Round 1 Day 2 Instant Reactions: Rising Studs and Super Sleepers on a…...

RotoViz writers have been keeping busy over the last two days with up-to-minute reactions for all the fantasy-relevant draft picks in the first three rounds. Be sure to check out our previous draft coverage and pre-draft research. Day 1 Instant Fantasy Reactions: Where the Stars Belong Now Superflex Rookie Draft Projections Following Round 1 Day 2 Instant Reactions: Rising Studs and Super Sleepers on a…...

The NFL Draft is only hours away, and when it comes we will get our most telling indication of how our favorite prospects’ NFL careers might go. Nothing predicts NFL success better than draft position, in part because nothing determines early NFL opportunity quite like draft position. But just because draft position is the most predictive metric, that doesn’t mean it’s entirely efficient. . …....

The NFL Draft is only hours away, and when it comes we will get our most telling indication of how our favorite prospect’s NFL careers might go. Nothing predicts NFL success better than draft position, in part because nothing determines early NFL opportunity quite like draft position. But just because draft position is the most predictive metric, that doesn’t mean it’s entirely efficient. What do…...

In The Wrong Read, No. 76, Blair Andrews dives into the definition of a breakout season for collegiate WR prospects and suggests a path for improving the metric. We’ve long defined a wide receiver breakout as a player’s first season in which they achieve a 30% dominator rating. While that has proven to be among the most accurate and discerning measures of college breakouts, it’s…...

Draft age is one of the most important metrics when evaluating prospects, at all positions. Across the board we see that players who are drafted at a younger age are more successful at nearly every stage of their careers, and are successful for longer than their peers that were drafted at an older age. There are few prospect metrics that have more predictive power than…...

Earlier this week I published the backfield dominator ratings (BDR) for the 2023 running back class. Chase Brown ranked No. 4 in BDR, thanks in large part to the number of opportunities he saw in Illinois’ offense. He had at least 20 touches and surpassed 100 total yards in every single game. Opponent RuAtts RuYds RuTDs RuAttMS RuYdMS Recs ReYds ReTDs Touches TotalYds Wyoming 19…...

Production is nearly always undervalued at the running back position. In part that’s because it’s not always the easiest thing to measure. Yes, we can easily look at the leaderboards in rushing and receiving yards and see who compiled the biggest numbers. But doing so leaves out a lot of context. For one thing, it doesn’t tell us much about a player’s offensive environment? Was…...

Jalin Hyatt is widely expected to be taken in the first round of the reality draft. The speed and explosiveness he displayed at the combine only solidifies his draft stock. Yet he routinely slips to the second round of dynasty rookie mock drafts. Are NFL GMs overvaluing Hyatt’s final season production and tested athleticism? Or are fantasy GMs undervaluing Hyatt’s on-field abilities? The Box Score…...

In many ways the NFL combine marks the unofficial start to the 2023 offseason. Although best balls drafts are in full swing, it’s not until the annual underwear olympics that we get new data on soon-to-be NFL players. In a lot of cases this new data just confirms what we already expected. But occasionally there are some surprises — both positive and negative. Those surprises…...

It’s rare for a player who didn’t go to a Power-Five school — let alone an FBS school — to make it big in the NFL. Yet occasionally, players from the FCS and lower divisions do hit in big ways. Christian Watson (North Dakota State) is the most recent example, but players like Cooper Kupp (Eastern Washington), David Johnson (Northern Iowa), Tarik Cohen (North Carolina…...